Post by Clint Black on Apr 5, 2015 18:21:24 GMT -5
Well I had a plan... Then John showed up. Let me take you through my thought process as it was until yesterday when John logged on for the first time and promised to stick around:
So by pure chance we landed in a unique situation where just one tribal council can lead to my guaranteed safety the dominance of my alliance over the tribe indefinitely. My verbal alliance consists of Jen, Ian, and myself. The no-shows are John and Elavia. That just leaves three others, Nikki, Cyndi, and Colin. All I have to do is remove on of the other three active members and and we have a permanent majority. Colin doesn't talk much but I told him privately I appreciated his effort in the challenge and consider him and ally, he told me he feels the same about me so I guess you could consider this a secret alliance and my crucial fourth vote. If I could convince all 3 of them to vote with me we would have enough to knock off the mark unless the 2 no-shows votes randomly take out the pre-agreed no-show that the rest of the tribe would have decided to boot. I was originally thinking Nikki. I have nothing against her. I would feel bad, she would never see it coming but it would look less suspicious. If it could work, the fallout would be the compete loss of Cyndi's trust and once the tribes are reordered, she will no doubt tell everyone what happened. Everyone in our alliance instantly gets a target on their back. We can't get rid of her. we won't have any active members to do challenges. What good is being the captain of a sinking ship? I wanted to wait a round to make sure I can fully trust my allies but then John and Elavia would begin to receive penalty votes so this is something that would have to be done at the first tribal council. It is definitely a massive risk and leaves me open to be crucified if something goes wrong. I have no idea if I can really trust Jen. I haven't held a conversation with her since before the first challenge.
This was a good idea I was mulling over for a few days but the emergence of John and my lack of trust in Jen make it unfeasible. I'm going to table the idea for now. Anyway as far as the tribe goes I am sensing an oncoming power struggle for leadership. Cyndi and I have both been attempting to coordinate things. I am trying to decide if I want to take her down, submit to her, peacefully coexist, or have her submit to me and make her a friend. I have no reason to trust her but strangely I do. I feel like her intentions are good and she just wants the tribe to succeed and cut the fat. I am completely fine with this, the above plot was assuming there was an internal arms race and the others were banning together but now I really don't think they are. After the first challenge I am starting to think the grass is looking a little greener on the other side of the tribe. If I want to make a deep run, Cyndi and Nikki might be stronger allies. I'm certainly not going to deceive anyone but after John and Elavia are gone and things get dicier I think Jen will deceive me and that will effectively end my ties with her. If she doesn't I will admit I was wrong and keep her in my circle. I guess the moral of this post is that I have no idea what my strategy is. My best guess is that I will decide to not piss off anyone and use my ties with anyone who is left when the smoke clears to be my ally until the end. If my trio sticks together we can assert our dominance and stay alive, knocking off a Nikki here or a Colin there if we absolutely must but I would much rather win and keep all of these guys around. We all work well together and can help each other while everyone else is alone for the merger. The challenge starts tomorrow so we'll see what happens.
So by pure chance we landed in a unique situation where just one tribal council can lead to my guaranteed safety the dominance of my alliance over the tribe indefinitely. My verbal alliance consists of Jen, Ian, and myself. The no-shows are John and Elavia. That just leaves three others, Nikki, Cyndi, and Colin. All I have to do is remove on of the other three active members and and we have a permanent majority. Colin doesn't talk much but I told him privately I appreciated his effort in the challenge and consider him and ally, he told me he feels the same about me so I guess you could consider this a secret alliance and my crucial fourth vote. If I could convince all 3 of them to vote with me we would have enough to knock off the mark unless the 2 no-shows votes randomly take out the pre-agreed no-show that the rest of the tribe would have decided to boot. I was originally thinking Nikki. I have nothing against her. I would feel bad, she would never see it coming but it would look less suspicious. If it could work, the fallout would be the compete loss of Cyndi's trust and once the tribes are reordered, she will no doubt tell everyone what happened. Everyone in our alliance instantly gets a target on their back. We can't get rid of her. we won't have any active members to do challenges. What good is being the captain of a sinking ship? I wanted to wait a round to make sure I can fully trust my allies but then John and Elavia would begin to receive penalty votes so this is something that would have to be done at the first tribal council. It is definitely a massive risk and leaves me open to be crucified if something goes wrong. I have no idea if I can really trust Jen. I haven't held a conversation with her since before the first challenge.
This was a good idea I was mulling over for a few days but the emergence of John and my lack of trust in Jen make it unfeasible. I'm going to table the idea for now. Anyway as far as the tribe goes I am sensing an oncoming power struggle for leadership. Cyndi and I have both been attempting to coordinate things. I am trying to decide if I want to take her down, submit to her, peacefully coexist, or have her submit to me and make her a friend. I have no reason to trust her but strangely I do. I feel like her intentions are good and she just wants the tribe to succeed and cut the fat. I am completely fine with this, the above plot was assuming there was an internal arms race and the others were banning together but now I really don't think they are. After the first challenge I am starting to think the grass is looking a little greener on the other side of the tribe. If I want to make a deep run, Cyndi and Nikki might be stronger allies. I'm certainly not going to deceive anyone but after John and Elavia are gone and things get dicier I think Jen will deceive me and that will effectively end my ties with her. If she doesn't I will admit I was wrong and keep her in my circle. I guess the moral of this post is that I have no idea what my strategy is. My best guess is that I will decide to not piss off anyone and use my ties with anyone who is left when the smoke clears to be my ally until the end. If my trio sticks together we can assert our dominance and stay alive, knocking off a Nikki here or a Colin there if we absolutely must but I would much rather win and keep all of these guys around. We all work well together and can help each other while everyone else is alone for the merger. The challenge starts tomorrow so we'll see what happens.